Sports wagering can be extremely profitable if you know the techniques the “smart money” bettors apply to consistently make cash. One of the biggest secrets that intelligent money bettors use will be knowing when NOT in order to bet.

Here’s a best illustration. My spouse and i analyzed often the Western world Florida vs. Louisville sport, and concluded that West Las vegas had the edge in the game. Yet , My spouse and i also recognized that there are a great deal of random and capricious factors, and recommended to my clients that they accomplish not bet on this particular game. Here is my own analysis I released in advance of the game:

West Va or Louisville

This sport provides all the signs of being one involving the greatest games associated with the year, together with equally teams coming into the adventure 7-0. It’s #3 placed West Virginia vs. #5 ranked Louisville, the two having high-scoring offenses and stingy defenses. Last year’s video game was a classic, using Western side Virginia coming back from being down huge in the fourth 1 fourth to winning within overtime, however,.

So what’s the adventure search like this year?

In the event this game were appearing played on a new fairly neutral field, West Florida might probably be a 4-6 point favorite. Since often the game is within Louisville, WVU is a 1-point under dog. Let’s see if can make sense…

West Virginia is on an unprecedented rotate. They haven’t lost considering that Oct. 1, 2005, going 14-0 since they shed to Las vegas Tech. On the last two periods they’re 13-5 ATS in addition. They’re also 7-2 OBTAIN THE in their last nine video games overall, and 8-2 OBTAIN THE in their very last 10 ROUTE games.

These types of are some very remarkable stats that tilt this scales in favor associated with WVU for tonight’s games. Plus, the added bonus is that WVU is usually GETTING +1 point. This could not seem to be like substantially, but in a near match-up similar to this, that spare point could make the difference between a new push together with a loss.

But what about Louisville?

Louisville’s numbers may be almost as good while WVU’s -except when this comes to Louisville covering the point spread. In their very last 10 games, Louisville is merely 4-6 ATS. That will said, Louisville is even so 7-3 ATS into their very last 10 home game titles.

And even if you’re leaning to WVU, here’s a terrifying stat… Louisville hasn’t shed in your own home since 12 18, 2003! During this present run Louisville is hitting 49. four points for every game in your house, while averaging only giving up 15. seven points for every game from home. In case an individual did not do the math concepts, that means since their own last home decline they already have averaged beating his or her competitors by means of about 34 points per game.

In addition remarkable, the average line during these games has only been 21 points. That means Louisville has beaten often the divide, on average, by means of 13 factors per online game at home since 2003.

Wow… how can you not in favor of that?

Here’s exactly how…

Almost สมัครบาคาร่า of those stats were being piled up during the 2005 season. This year, 2006, Louisville has been nearer to fine than great. They are yet to had recent games where they are yet to only scored twenty-eight, 12, 24 points. These games weren’t against Iowa E. or Michigan. That they were against Cincinnati, Syracuse, plus Kansas St.

The end result is that will this is still a close match to call up. Although the things i look to get is West Virginia’s protection to carry the time. If Cincinnati, Syracuse, and Kansas St. can all of hold Louisville under 40 points, then there’s no cause to think WVU can’t have one to often the low to mid 20’s. My honest endorsement can be to lay off this particular game and not guess at all. There will be better game titles this end of the week with more simple advantages.

The final score in this game was Louisville forty-four, West Las vegas 34. Lousiville won because West California had 6 fumbles and allowed Lousiville to go back some sort of punt for a new TD. The bottom line was that West Virginia’s border weren’t so big that they can may possibly still win after making so many mistakes. By simply not betting on that match, people really serious about wagering saved money many people can put to better work with on forthcoming games.