Sports gambling can be very profitable if a person know the techniques typically the “smart money” bettors employ to consistently make money. Most significant secrets that clever money bettors use is usually knowing when NOT in order to bet.

Here’s a excellent instance. We analyzed the particular Rest of the world California vs. Louisville video game, and concluded that will West Florida had typically the edge in the game. Nevertheless , I actually also came to the realization that there were a lot of random and unpredictable factors, and recommended to a clients that they accomplish not gamble on this specific game. Here is my personal analysis I released ahead of the game:

West Las vegas vs . Louisville

This video game features all the indications of being one regarding the best games regarding the year, with each teams coming into the sport 7-0. It’s #3 placed West Virginia against. #5 ranked Louisville, the two having high-scoring offenses and stingy defenses. Last year’s match was a classic, having West Virginia coming back from staying down massive in the final quarter to winning within overtime.

So what’s แทงบอลสเต็ป like this year?

In the event that this match were getting played at some sort of simple field, West Virginia would probably be a 4-6 level favorite. Since typically the game is at Louisville, WVU is a 1-point under dog. Let’s see if this will make sense…

West Virginia is definitely on an unprecedented move. These people haven’t lost considering that Jan. 1, 2005, intending 14-0 since they dropped to Florida Tech. In the last two periods they’re 13-5 ATS too. They’re also 7-2 ATS in their last on the lookout for activities overall, and 8-2 OBTAIN THE in their final 10 ROUTE games.

These kinds of are some very amazing stats that tilt typically the scales in favor regarding WVU to get tonight’s games. Plus, the particular added in bonus is that WVU will be GETTING +1 point. This could not seem like substantially, but in a close up match-up this way, that excess point might make the difference between a new push and a loss.

But some of us wonder what about Louisville?

Louisville’s figures are usually almost as good like WVU’s -except when it comes to Louisville covering the point spread. In his or her final 10 games, Louisville is simply 4-6 ATS. Of which said, Louisville is even now 7-3 ATS within their final 10 home activities.

In addition to if you’re leaning in the direction of WVU, here’s a frightening stat… Louisville hasn’t missing in the home since 12 18, 2003! During this current run Louisville is averaging 49. 5 points for every game at home, while averaging only leaving behind 15. seven points for each game on home. In case anyone did not do the math concepts, that means due to the fact his or her last home damage they have already averaged beating their particular adversaries by about thirty four things per game.

What’s more extraordinary, the average line during these games has only already been 21 points. That methods Louisville has beaten this get spread around, on average, by means of 13 points per game at home given that 2003.

Wow… how can anyone not in favor of that?

Here’s just how…

Many of those stats have been developed during the 2005 season. This season, 2006, Louisville has been closer to fine than great. They already have got recent games by which they already have only scored 28, 23, 24 points. These types of game titles weren’t against Ohio E. or Michigan. Many people were being against Cincinnati, Syracuse, and Kansas St.

To put it succinctly of which this is still some sort of close video game to contact. Nonetheless what I look regarding is West Virginia’s safety to carry the day time. If Cincinnati, Syracuse, and even Kansas St. can almost all hold Louisville under thirty points, then there’s zero cause to think WVU can’t have one to the low to core 20’s. My honest advice will be to lay off this game and certainly not guarantee at all. There are better games this weekend break with more clear-cut benefits.

The final score of the game was Louisville 44, West Va 34. Lousiville won because West Virginia had 6 fumbles and even allowed Lousiville to return a punt for a good TD. The bottom line was that will West Virginia’s border has not been so big that they can may possibly still win immediately after building so many mistakes. By way of not betting on this kind of match, people serious about gambling saved money they can offer better use on coming games.