Sports gambling can be extremely profitable if anyone know the tricks the “smart money” bettors apply to consistently make cash. Most significant secrets that wise money gamblers use can be knowing when NOT for you to bet.

Here’s a ideal instance. I analyzed the Western world Florida vs. Louisville sport, and concluded that West Virginia had the particular edge in the match. However , I actually also understood that there initially were a good deal of random and unforeseen factors, and recommended to my clients that they do not wager on that game. Here is the analysis I released ahead of the game:

West Va or Louisville

This activity offers all the signals of being one of the most effective games connected with the year, using both teams coming into the adventure 7-0. ‘s #3 rated West Virginia as opposed to. #5 ranked Louisville, the two using high-scoring offenses and stingy defenses. Last year’s game was a classic, together with Western Virginia coming back from getting down massive in the final one fourth to winning around overtime, however,.

So what’s the overall game seem like this year?

In the event this sport were being played at a good basic field, West Florida would certainly probably be a 4-6 place favorite. Since the particular game is Louisville, WVU is a 1-point under dog. Let’s see if can make sense…

West Virginia will be on an unprecedented throw. They will haven’t lost due to the fact Oct. 1, 2005, heading 14-0 since they lost to Florida Tech. Inside the last two conditions they’re 13-5 ATS in addition. They’re also 7-2 ATS in their last dokuz game titles overall, and 8-2 OBTAIN THE in their final 10 ROAD games.

These types of are some very amazing stats that tilt typically the scales in favor involving WVU intended for tonight’s game. Plus, often the extra reward is that WVU will be GETTING +1 point. This may not seem like quite a bit, but in a in close proximity match-up this way, that spare point will make the difference between a push together with a loss.

But you may be wondering what about Louisville?

Louisville’s numbers are almost as good since WVU’s -except when it comes to Louisville in the point spread. In his or her previous 10 games, Louisville is simply 4-6 ATS. The fact that said, Louisville is even so 7-3 ATS in their previous 10 home video games.

In addition to if you’re leaning to WVU, here’s a terrifying stat… Louisville hasn’t dropped in the home since 12 , 17, the year 2003! During this current run Louisville is hitting 49. 5 points for each game in the home, while averaging only quitting 15. 7 points every game on home. In case anyone failed to do the math concepts, that means due to the fact his or her last home loss they already have averaged beating their own oppositions by simply about 34 factors per game.

In addition outstanding, the average line in these games has only been 21 points. That methods Louisville has beaten the get spread around, on average, by 13 items per activity at home considering the year 2003.

Wow… how can an individual not in favor of that?

Here’s how…

The majority of those stats were accumulated during the 2004 season. This season, 2006, Louisville has been nearer to very good than great. They already have got recent games where they are yet to only scored 35, 3, 24 points. These games weren’t against Kansas E. or Michigan. These people had been against Cincinnati, Syracuse, together with Kansas St.

The end result is the fact that this is still some sort of close sport to call. Yet the things i look for is West Virginia’s safety to carry the day time. If Cincinnati, Syracuse, together with Kansas St. can all hold Louisville under 30 points, then there’s not any purpose to think WVU can’t have one to this low to middle of the 20’s. My honest suggestion can be to lay off this kind of game and definitely not wager at all. There happen to be better game titles this end of the week with more clear-cut rewards.

The final score of the game was Louisville forty-four, West Virginia 34. Lousiville won because West California had 6 fumbles and allowed Lousiville to come back some sort of punt for a TD. The bottom line was of which West Virginia’s advantage wasn’t so big that they could still win soon after building so many mistakes. Simply by not betting on this kind of sport, people serious about sports betting saved money that they can offer better use on approaching games.